Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 17.764913 20.223580 22.905581 26.049539 29.635731 33.600935 38.320753
2024-10-27 14.148576 17.314410 21.027507 25.708272 31.458759 38.302598 47.081448
2024-11-03 11.985258 15.658044 20.257971 26.452584 34.595317 44.960247 59.199661
2024-11-10 10.388538 14.430723 19.815268 27.532283 38.345534 53.014989 74.525942
2024-11-17 8.816789 12.976209 18.848697 27.775751 41.066135 60.221667 90.113880
2024-11-24 7.241200 11.252983 17.235925 26.851474 42.012465 65.156635 103.476996
2024-12-01 5.982763 9.788527 15.766580 25.896172 42.764876 69.967693 117.635888
2024-12-08 5.121027 8.800526 14.874003 25.700182 44.699908 76.998734 136.778986
2024-12-15 4.489087 8.085012 14.308536 25.954121 47.447614 85.887556 160.889533
2024-12-22 3.916278 7.374472 13.635182 25.904855 49.665087 94.271054 185.820164
2024-12-29 3.561651 7.001103 13.504575 26.833693 53.877279 107.097579 221.845626
2025-01-05 3.169697 6.489247 13.029958 27.017760 56.684631 117.749659 255.760400
2025-01-12 2.727283 5.814533 12.152779 26.296531 57.656909 125.184061 285.204188
2025-01-19 2.392886 5.305612 11.528289 25.999088 59.500152 134.872330 321.934228
2025-01-26 2.192309 5.051800 11.404510 26.790828 63.962205 151.299940 378.221992
2025-02-02 2.037502 4.874153 11.420550 27.916982 69.463120 171.309452 448.082915
2025-02-09 1.844868 4.573373 11.102597 28.190018 72.970286 187.294359 511.658660
2025-02-16 1.610120 4.127782 10.362092 27.271805 73.286812 195.375616 556.253355
2025-02-23 1.406808 3.725143 9.658301 26.316742 73.329151 202.804460 601.036183
2025-03-02 1.266608 3.462340 9.267107 26.129802 75.461184 216.427959 667.426230
2025-03-09 1.162491 3.278343 9.052775 26.398009 78.967715 234.745033 752.883217
2025-03-16 1.058169 3.074936 8.750088 26.355799 81.567885 251.021273 836.272939
2025-03-23 0.999671 2.993136 8.776886 27.307725 87.442357 278.618214 964.353989